The wettest drought since records began
Figures from the Met Office suggest Britain has endured its wettest April since records began more than a century ago in 1910.
But here is the Met Office forecast for April, issued on March 12th, 2012:
Met Office 3-month Outlook Period: April – June 2012 Issue date: 23.03.12
SUMMARY – PRECIPITATION: The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months. With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the April-May-June period. The probability that UK precipitation for April-May-June will fall into the driest of our five categories is 20-25% whilst the probability that it will fall into the wettest of our five categories is 10-15% (the 197-2000 climatological probability for each of these categories is 20%).
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/p/i/A3-layout-precip-AMJ.pdf
But here is the Met Office forecast for April, issued on March 12th, 2012:
Met Office 3-month Outlook Period: April – June 2012 Issue date: 23.03.12
SUMMARY – PRECIPITATION: The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months. With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the April-May-June period. The probability that UK precipitation for April-May-June will fall into the driest of our five categories is 20-25% whilst the probability that it will fall into the wettest of our five categories is 10-15% (the 197-2000 climatological probability for each of these categories is 20%).
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/p/i/A3-layout-precip-AMJ.pdf
posted by Anoneumouse at 10:10 am
2 Comments:
When were the Met Office ever right? Even the 1987 storm was "overlooked" by their crap models.
This sums up the Climate Change bollox - the programs are wrong and the "inputs" often in error, but the computers are fast and worshipped, so too too many still believe this rubbish.
The models are very good though at predicting a hundred years hence.
Post a Comment
<< Home